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Dueling Jones, Tuberville polls show wide divergence

By TODD STACY, Alabama Daily News

MONTGOMERY, Ala. – Two weeks out of Election Day, the campaigns of Democratic U.S. Sen. Doug Jones and his Republican challenger Tommy Tuberville are touting two vastly different voter surveys showing each in the lead.

On Friday, Democratic polling firm FM3 Research released a memo of a recent survey showing Jones leading Tuberville 48-47%. the survey also showed advantages for Jones among absentee voters and those who identify as independents.

On Monday, Tuberville pollster Erick Iverson of the Moore Group released his own memo for an internal poll showing Tuberville leading Jones 55-40%, with four percent not knowing or undecided.

However, neither polling memo cited the demographic information of the survey sample, such as party or ideology, gender, race or age. In survey research, those demographic data are used to build a sample that closely reflects a likely voting universe, based on traditional patterns and other factors.

The most recent public poll in the race was conducted by Auburn University Montgomery, which showed Tuberville leading Jones 54-42%, with four percent undecided.

The Tuberville memo did include a ballot test for the presidential race showing President Donald Trump leading former Vice President Joe Biden 55-38% in Alabama, which also lines up with the recent AUM poll.

Polling memo from FM3 Research



Polling memo from Moore Information Group




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