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Senate polls shows Jones trailing Tuberville, Sessions, Byrne

By TODD STACY, Alabama Daily News

MONTGOMERY, Ala. – A new poll on the Alabama Senate race shows incumbent Democratic Sen. Doug Jones trailing his most likely Republican challengers for reelection in 2020.

A survey conducted by JMC Analytics showed Jones behind in head-to-head matchups versus former Auburn football coach Tommy Tuberville, former U.S. Attorney General and Senator Jeff Sessions, and Congressman Bradley Byrne. However, none of the GOP candidates took more than 50% against Jones and many voters remain undecided, according to the poll.

The survey, taken Dec. 16-18, tested 525 registered voters reached by a “hybrid” method of automated phone calls and text messages. The margin for error was +/-4.3% at 95% confidence.

The survey asked voters which candidate they would support if the election was held today. Tuberville fared the best against Jones, followed by Sessions and Byrne. Former Chief Justice Roy Moore and State Rep. Arnold Mooney would lose to Jones in a general election matchup, according to the poll.

Here are the head-to-head matchup results:

Doug Jones vs. Tommy Tuberville

  • Tuberville 47%
  • Jones 40%
  • Undecided 13%

Doug Jones vs. Jeff Sessions

  • Sessions 46%
  • Jones 41%
  • Undecided 13%

Doug Jones vs. Bradley Byrne

  • Byrne 44%
  • Jones 40%
  • Undecided 16%

Doug Jones vs. Roy Moore

  • Jones 47%
  • Moore 33%
  • Undecided 20%

Doug Jones vs. Arnold Mooney

  • Jones 40%
  • Mooney 34%
  • Undecided 25%


The survey also showed moderately high support for President Donald Trump’s reelection with 54% saying he deserves to be reelected and 42% saying he does not. On the question of impeachment, 54% of respondents said they opposed Trump’s impeachment while 39% said they supported it.

When asked generally whether Jones deserves to be reelected, 34% said he does while 48% said he does not.

According to the released polling memo, the survey did not test for political ideology or party identification. Also, while the memo says the survey tested for “likely” households, the poll included voters who have not voted in any of the last four elections, including the 2016 general election.

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See the full memo, including some cross tabs, from JMC Analytics HERE.

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